Forsa poll of 15 February 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 14 Feb 2020
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- Grüne24.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%-2.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Feb 2020.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 10 to 14 Feb 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Feb 2020, FDP loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 3.0 points lower and Grüne 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Feb 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -3.0average 14.0
- Grüne +2.2average 21.8
- FDP -1.3average 7.3
- Linke +0.8average 9.2
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 27.5
- SPD -0.1average 14.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- Grüne164
- SPD96
- AfD75
- Linke69
- FDP41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke350 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke329 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.