Single poll

Forsa poll of 8 February 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
3 to 7 Feb 2020
Respondents
2,503
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU28.0%±0
  • Grüne23.0%±0
  • SPD14.0%+2.0
  • AfD10.0%-1.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Feb 2020.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 3 to 7 Feb 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Feb 2020, SPD gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 3.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Feb 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -3.8average 13.8
  • Grüne +1.1average 21.9
  • CDU/CSU +0.4average 27.6
  • Linke +0.3average 8.7
  • SPD +0.2average 13.8
  • FDP ±0average 8.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 192 seatsGrüne: 157 seatsSPD: 96 seatsAfD: 68 seatsLinke: 62 seatsFDP: 55 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU192
  • Grüne157
  • SPD96
  • AfD68
  • Linke62
  • FDP55
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke350 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP343 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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