Forsa poll of 1 February 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 31 Jan 2020
- Respondents
- 2,504
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne23.0%±0
- SPD12.0%±0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Jan 2020.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 27 to 31 Jan 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Jan 2020, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 3.1 points lower and SPD 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Feb 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -3.1average 14.1
- SPD -1.9average 13.9
- Grüne +1.0average 22.0
- FDP +1.0average 8.0
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 27.2
- Linke +0.4average 8.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne157
- SPD82
- AfD75
- FDP62
- Linke62
- CDU/CSU + Grüne349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke316 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.