Single poll

Forsa poll of 25 January 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
20 to 24 Jan 2020
Respondents
2,504
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU28.0%±0
  • Grüne23.0%+1.0
  • SPD12.0%-1.0
  • AfD12.0%-1.0
  • FDP9.0%+1.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Jan 2020.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 20 to 24 Jan 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 18 Jan 2020, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.6 points lower and SPD 1.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jan 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -2.6average 14.6
  • SPD -1.7average 13.7
  • Grüne +1.3average 21.7
  • FDP +1.1average 7.9
  • CDU/CSU +0.9average 27.1
  • Linke ±0average 9.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 190 seatsGrüne: 156 seatsSPD: 81 seatsAfD: 81 seatsFDP: 61 seatsLinke: 61 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU190
  • Grüne156
  • SPD81
  • AfD81
  • FDP61
  • Linke61
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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