Forsa poll of 18 January 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 17 Jan 2020
- Respondents
- 2,504
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne22.0%±0
- SPD13.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- Linke9.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Jan 2020.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 13 to 17 Jan 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Jan 2020, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jan 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.4average 14.4
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 27.2
- SPD -0.6average 13.6
- Grüne +0.4average 21.6
- Linke +0.2average 8.8
- FDP -0.2average 8.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- Grüne149
- SPD88
- AfD88
- Linke61
- FDP54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.