Forsa poll of 11 January 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 10 Jan 2020
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne22.0%±0
- AfD13.0%±0
- SPD12.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 Dec 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 6 to 10 Jan 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 Dec 2019, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Jan 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.4average 13.4
- AfD -1.3average 14.3
- FDP +0.7average 8.3
- Linke -0.7average 8.7
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 27.6
- Grüne +0.4average 21.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne150
- AfD89
- SPD82
- FDP62
- Linke55
- CDU/CSU + Grüne342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke329 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.