Forsa poll of 21 December 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 20 Dec 2019
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne22.0%±0
- SPD13.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Dec 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 16 to 20 Dec 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Dec 2019, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Dec 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.5average 14.5
- Linke -1.0average 9.0
- Grüne +0.9average 21.1
- SPD -0.9average 13.9
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 27.3
- FDP -0.2average 8.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne150
- SPD89
- AfD89
- FDP55
- Linke55
- CDU/CSU + Grüne342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke336 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.