Forsa poll of 16 November 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 15 Nov 2019
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%-2.0
- SPD15.0%+2.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Nov 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 11 to 15 Nov 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Nov 2019, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.3 points lower and FDP 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Nov 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.3average 21.3
- FDP +1.5average 7.5
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 27.0
- AfD -1.0average 14.0
- Linke +1.0average 9.0
- SPD +0.1average 14.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- Grüne130
- SPD103
- AfD89
- Linke68
- FDP62
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD411 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD397 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.