Forsa poll of 9 November 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 8 Nov 2019
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%-2.0
- Grüne21.0%+1.0
- SPD13.0%±0
- AfD13.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Nov 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 4 to 8 Nov 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Nov 2019, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Nov 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.3average 14.3
- AfD -1.1average 14.1
- Linke +1.1average 8.9
- FDP +1.1average 7.9
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 27.0
- Grüne -0.6average 21.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- Grüne144
- SPD89
- AfD89
- Linke68
- FDP62
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.