Forsa poll of 2 November 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Oct 2019 to 1 Nov 2019
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%-1.0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD13.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- Linke10.0%+2.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Oct 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 28 Oct 2019 to 1 Nov 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Oct 2019, Linke gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.1 points lower and Linke 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Nov 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.1average 22.1
- Linke +2.0average 8.0
- SPD -1.3average 14.3
- AfD -1.2average 14.2
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 27.6
- FDP +0.4average 7.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne137
- SPD89
- AfD89
- Linke68
- FDP55
- CDU/CSU + Grüne329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.