Forsa poll of 26 October 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 25 Oct 2019
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%+2.0
- Grüne20.0%-2.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 Oct 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 21 to 25 Oct 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 Oct 2019, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Oct 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.3average 22.3
- CDU/CSU +1.1average 27.9
- AfD -1.0average 14.0
- FDP +0.6average 7.4
- SPD -0.2average 14.2
- Linke ±0average 8.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU198
- Grüne137
- SPD96
- AfD89
- FDP55
- Linke55
- CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.