Forsa poll of 23 November 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 22 Nov 2019
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- Grüne21.0%+2.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Nov 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 18 to 22 Nov 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Nov 2019, Grüne gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Nov 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.2average 7.8
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 27.0
- AfD -0.9average 13.9
- SPD -0.4average 14.4
- Linke -0.4average 9.4
- Grüne -0.3average 21.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- Grüne144
- SPD96
- AfD89
- FDP62
- Linke61
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.