Forsa poll of 5 October 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Sep 2019 to 4 Oct 2019
- Respondents
- 2,505
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- Grüne22.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Sep 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 30 Sep 2019 to 4 Oct 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Sep 2019, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Oct 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.1average 14.1
- Linke -0.9average 7.9
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 27.2
- Grüne -0.8average 22.8
- FDP +0.4average 7.6
- SPD -0.1average 14.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne150
- SPD96
- AfD89
- FDP55
- Linke48
- CDU/CSU + Grüne342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP336 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.