Forsa poll of 28 September 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 27 Sep 2019
- Respondents
- 2,505
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne23.0%+1.0
- SPD13.0%-2.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 Sep 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 23 to 27 Sep 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 Sep 2019, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has FDP 2.0 points higher and SPD 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Sep 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +2.0average 7.0
- SPD -1.7average 14.7
- AfD -1.1average 14.1
- Linke -0.9average 7.9
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 27.1
- Grüne +0.1average 22.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- Grüne157
- SPD89
- AfD89
- FDP62
- Linke48
- CDU/CSU + Grüne342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP336 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.