Forsa poll of 21 September 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 20 Sep 2019
- Respondents
- 2,500
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne22.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD13.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Sep 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 16 to 20 Sep 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Sep 2019, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Sep 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -0.9average 13.9
- FDP +0.9average 7.1
- Linke -0.8average 7.8
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 27.6
- Grüne -0.5average 22.5
- SPD +0.2average 14.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- Grüne150
- SPD103
- AfD89
- FDP55
- Linke48
- CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP343 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.