Forsa poll of 14 September 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 13 Sep 2019
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne22.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke7.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Sep 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 9 to 13 Sep 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Sep 2019, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Sep 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.0average 7.0
- Grüne -0.7average 22.7
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 27.6
- Linke -0.5average 7.5
- SPD +0.3average 14.7
- AfD +0.1average 13.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne149
- SPD102
- AfD95
- FDP54
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD380 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.