Single poll

Forsa poll of 7 September 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
2 to 6 Sep 2019
Respondents
2,503
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU27.0%±0
  • Grüne23.0%±0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • AfD13.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Linke6.0%-1.0
  • Others8.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 31 Aug 2019.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 2 to 6 Sep 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 31 Aug 2019, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Linke 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Sep 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke -1.5average 7.5
  • AfD -0.9average 13.9
  • SPD +0.7average 14.3
  • FDP +0.7average 7.3
  • CDU/CSU -0.6average 27.6
  • Grüne -0.3average 23.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 185 seatsGrüne: 157 seatsSPD: 103 seatsAfD: 89 seatsFDP: 55 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU185
  • Grüne157
  • SPD103
  • AfD89
  • FDP55
  • Linke41
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD377 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP343 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke329 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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