Forsa poll of 31 August 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 30 Aug 2019
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- Grüne23.0%±0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 Aug 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 26 to 30 Aug 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 Aug 2019, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has FDP 1.6 points higher and SPD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.6average 7.4
- SPD +1.5average 13.5
- AfD -1.5average 13.5
- Grüne -1.1average 24.1
- Linke -0.6average 7.6
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 27.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne156
- SPD102
- AfD81
- FDP61
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP346 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.