Forsa poll of 12 October 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 11 Oct 2019
- Respondents
- 2,500
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- Grüne23.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Oct 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 7 to 11 Oct 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Oct 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Oct 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.5average 14.5
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 27.5
- FDP +0.5average 7.5
- SPD +0.4average 13.6
- Grüne +0.3average 22.7
- Linke +0.1average 7.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- Grüne157
- SPD96
- AfD82
- FDP55
- Linke55
- CDU/CSU + Grüne342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke336 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.