Forsa poll of 27 July 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 26 Jul 2019
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne24.0%±0
- SPD13.0%±0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 20 Jul 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 22 to 26 Jul 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 20 Jul 2019, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jul 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -1.1average 8.1
- FDP +0.9average 8.1
- SPD -0.4average 13.4
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 27.3
- Grüne -0.3average 24.3
- AfD +0.3average 12.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne163
- SPD88
- AfD88
- FDP61
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD359 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.