Forsa poll of 20 July 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 19 Jul 2019
- Respondents
- 2,500
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- Grüne24.0%-1.0
- SPD13.0%±0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 Jul 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 15 to 19 Jul 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 Jul 2019, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jul 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -0.9average 12.9
- Grüne -0.6average 24.6
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 26.7
- Linke -0.3average 8.3
- SPD -0.2average 13.2
- FDP -0.2average 8.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- Grüne164
- SPD89
- AfD82
- FDP55
- Linke55
- CDU/CSU + Grüne349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD356 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.