Forsa poll of 3 August 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Jul 2019 to 2 Aug 2019
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne23.0%-1.0
- SPD13.0%±0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 27 Jul 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 29 Jul 2019 to 2 Aug 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 27 Jul 2019, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.4average 24.4
- FDP +0.8average 8.2
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 27.2
- AfD -0.2average 13.2
- SPD -0.1average 13.1
- Linke ±0average 8.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne156
- SPD88
- AfD88
- FDP61
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.