Single poll

Forsa poll of 8 June 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
3 to 7 Jun 2019
Respondents
2,501
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne27.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU24.0%-2.0
  • SPD12.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%+1.0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Jun 2019.

In this poll Forsa has Grüne ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 3 to 7 Jun 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Jun 2019, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 5.0 points higher and CDU/CSU 3.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +5.0average 22.0
  • CDU/CSU -3.8average 27.8
  • SPD -3.0average 15.0
  • AfD -0.8average 12.8
  • FDP -0.2average 8.2
  • Linke ±0average 8.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

Grüne: 187 seatsCDU/CSU: 167 seatsSPD: 83 seatsAfD: 83 seatsFDP: 55 seatsLinke: 55 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • Grüne187
  • CDU/CSU167
  • SPD83
  • AfD83
  • FDP55
  • Linke55
  • Grüne + CDU/CSU354 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD333 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP325 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke325 of 630
  • Grüne + AfD + FDP325 of 630
  • Grüne + AfD + Linke325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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