Forsa poll of 1 June 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 31 May 2019
- Respondents
- 2,001
- Method
- Telefonisch
- Grüne27.0%+9.0
- CDU/CSU26.0%-2.0
- SPD12.0%-5.0
- AfD11.0%-2.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 27 May 2019.
In this poll Forsa has Grüne ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 26.0%. 2,001 people were surveyed from 27 to 31 May 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 27 May 2019, Grüne gains 9.0 points, SPD loses 5.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 8.1 points higher and SPD 4.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +8.1average 18.9
- SPD -4.8average 16.8
- CDU/CSU -2.8average 28.8
- AfD -2.0average 13.0
- Linke -1.7average 8.7
- FDP -0.4average 8.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- Grüne187
- CDU/CSU180
- SPD83
- AfD76
- FDP55
- Linke49
- Grüne + CDU/CSU367 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD339 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP325 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke319 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + FDP318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.