Forsa poll of 27 May 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 24 May 2019
- Respondents
- 2,500
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%-1.0
- Grüne18.0%-1.0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 20 May 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 20 to 24 May 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 20 May 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 29.0
- Linke -0.8average 8.8
- Grüne -0.5average 18.5
- FDP -0.5average 8.5
- SPD +0.1average 16.9
- AfD ±0average 13.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne123
- SPD116
- AfD89
- FDP55
- Linke55
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD431 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD404 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD397 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke336 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.