Forsa poll of 20 May 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 17 May 2019
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%±0
- Linke9.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 May 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 13 to 17 May 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 May 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.0average 17.0
- FDP -0.6average 8.6
- Grüne +0.3average 18.7
- Linke +0.3average 8.7
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 29.1
- AfD -0.1average 13.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU195
- Grüne127
- SPD107
- AfD87
- Linke60
- FDP54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP336 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.