Single poll

Forsa poll of 13 May 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
6 to 10 May 2019
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
  • Grüne20.0%±0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • AfD13.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 6 May 2019.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 6 to 10 May 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 6 May 2019, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -2.0average 17.0
  • Grüne +1.2average 18.8
  • CDU/CSU +0.9average 29.1
  • Linke -0.7average 8.7
  • FDP -0.6average 8.6
  • AfD -0.1average 13.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 201 seatsGrüne: 134 seatsSPD: 100 seatsAfD: 87 seatsFDP: 54 seatsLinke: 54 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU201
  • Grüne134
  • SPD100
  • AfD87
  • FDP54
  • Linke54
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD388 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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