Forsa poll of 15 June 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 14 Jun 2019
- Respondents
- 2,001
- Method
- Telefonisch
- Grüne27.0%±0
- CDU/CSU24.0%±0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- SPD11.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Jun 2019.
In this poll Forsa has Grüne ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 2,001 people were surveyed from 11 to 14 Jun 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Jun 2019, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 4.1 points higher and SPD 3.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +4.1average 22.9
- SPD -3.6average 14.6
- CDU/CSU -3.2average 27.2
- FDP +0.7average 8.3
- AfD +0.3average 12.7
- Linke ±0average 8.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- Grüne185
- CDU/CSU164
- AfD89
- SPD75
- FDP62
- Linke55
- Grüne + CDU/CSU349 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD349 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + FDP336 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + Linke329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD328 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.