Forsa poll of 22 April 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 18 Apr 2019
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%±0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Apr 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 15 to 18 Apr 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Apr 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 29.4
- Linke -0.7average 8.7
- Grüne +0.3average 18.7
- FDP +0.3average 8.7
- SPD +0.1average 16.9
- AfD +0.1average 12.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- Grüne127
- SPD114
- AfD87
- FDP60
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD429 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD402 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke329 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.