Forsa poll of 29 April 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 24 Apr 2019
- Respondents
- 2,009
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- Grüne20.0%+1.0
- SPD17.0%±0
- AfD13.0%±0
- Linke9.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Apr 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,009 people were surveyed from 18 to 24 Apr 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Apr 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.3 points lower and Grüne 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.3average 29.3
- Grüne +1.6average 18.4
- FDP -1.0average 9.0
- SPD +0.3average 16.7
- AfD ±0average 13.0
- Linke ±0average 9.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne134
- SPD114
- AfD87
- Linke60
- FDP54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD429 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD402 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP349 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.