Forsa poll of 15 April 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 12 Apr 2019
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP10.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 6 Apr 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 8 to 12 Apr 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 6 Apr 2019, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.1average 8.9
- SPD -0.8average 16.8
- Linke -0.8average 8.8
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 29.6
- Grüne +0.6average 18.4
- AfD -0.6average 12.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU195
- Grüne127
- SPD107
- AfD80
- FDP67
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke316 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.