Single poll

Forsa poll of 6 April 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
1 to 5 Apr 2019
Respondents
2,501
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU29.0%+1.0
  • Grüne20.0%±0
  • SPD16.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • FDP10.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • Others5.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Mar 2019.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 1 to 5 Apr 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Mar 2019, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 1.8 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.8average 18.2
  • CDU/CSU -1.0average 30.0
  • FDP +1.0average 9.0
  • SPD -0.7average 16.7
  • Linke -0.7average 8.7
  • AfD -0.5average 12.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 192 seatsGrüne: 133 seatsSPD: 106 seatsAfD: 80 seatsFDP: 66 seatsLinke: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU192
  • Grüne133
  • SPD106
  • AfD80
  • FDP66
  • Linke53
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD378 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke325 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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