Forsa poll of 30 March 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 29 Mar 2019
- Respondents
- 2,504
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%-2.0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 23 Mar 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 25 to 29 Mar 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 23 Mar 2019, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.2 points lower and Grüne 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.2average 30.2
- Grüne +2.0average 18.0
- FDP +1.1average 8.9
- Linke -0.8average 8.8
- SPD -0.7average 16.7
- AfD -0.7average 12.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- Grüne134
- SPD107
- AfD80
- FDP67
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.