Forsa poll of 23 March 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 22 Mar 2019
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
- Grüne20.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Mar 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 18 to 22 Mar 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Mar 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.2 points lower and Grüne 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.2average 13.2
- Grüne +2.1average 17.9
- SPD -1.1average 17.1
- Linke -0.5average 8.5
- FDP +0.4average 8.6
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 30.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU201
- Grüne134
- SPD107
- AfD74
- FDP60
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.