Forsa poll of 16 March 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 15 Mar 2019
- Respondents
- 2,505
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Mar 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 11 to 15 Mar 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Mar 2019, FDP gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 1.7 points lower and Linke 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.7average 16.7
- Linke -1.7average 8.7
- FDP +1.4average 8.6
- AfD -1.2average 13.2
- Grüne +1.1average 17.9
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 30.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU208
- Grüne127
- SPD101
- AfD80
- FDP67
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.