Forsa poll of 9 March 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 8 Mar 2019
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Mar 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 4 to 8 Mar 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Mar 2019, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.1 points lower and Grüne 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.1average 17.1
- Grüne +1.5average 17.5
- AfD -1.3average 13.3
- Linke -0.8average 8.8
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 30.3
- FDP +0.5average 8.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU208
- Grüne127
- SPD101
- AfD80
- FDP60
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.