Forsa poll of 9 February 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 8 Feb 2019
- Respondents
- 2,500
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Feb 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 4 to 8 Feb 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Feb 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.4average 13.4
- FDP +1.2average 8.8
- Linke -1.0average 9.0
- Grüne +0.6average 18.4
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 30.5
- SPD -0.5average 15.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU206
- Grüne126
- SPD99
- AfD80
- FDP66
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.