Forsa poll of 2 February 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Jan 2019 to 1 Feb 2019
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU32.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Jan 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 28 Jan 2019 to 1 Feb 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Jan 2019, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.1 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.1average 14.1
- CDU/CSU +1.9average 30.1
- Linke -0.8average 8.8
- Grüne +0.4average 18.6
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
- FDP +0.1average 8.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU212
- Grüne126
- SPD99
- AfD80
- FDP60
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.