Forsa poll of 26 January 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 25 Jan 2019
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU32.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 Jan 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 21 to 25 Jan 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 Jan 2019, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.9 points lower and CDU/CSU 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Jan 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.9average 13.9
- CDU/CSU +2.0average 30.0
- SPD -1.1average 15.1
- Grüne +1.0average 19.0
- FDP +0.1average 8.9
- Linke ±0average 9.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU212
- Grüne132
- SPD93
- AfD73
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.