Forsa poll of 16 February 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 15 Feb 2019
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%-2.0
- Grüne21.0%+2.0
- SPD17.0%+2.0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP10.0%±0
- Linke6.0%-2.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Feb 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 11 to 15 Feb 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Feb 2019, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Linke 3.2 points lower and Grüne 2.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -3.2average 9.2
- Grüne +2.9average 18.1
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 30.5
- FDP +1.3average 8.7
- AfD -1.1average 13.1
- SPD +0.9average 16.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne139
- SPD113
- AfD80
- FDP66
- Linke40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.