Forsa poll of 12 January 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 11 Jan 2019
- Respondents
- 2,504
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU32.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Jan 2019.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 7 to 11 Jan 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Jan 2019, FDP gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.5 points lower and CDU/CSU 2.4 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Jan 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.5average 14.5
- CDU/CSU +2.4average 29.6
- Linke -1.2average 9.2
- FDP +0.3average 8.7
- Grüne +0.2average 18.8
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU212
- Grüne126
- SPD99
- AfD80
- FDP60
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.