Forsa poll of 5 January 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 4 Jan 2019
- Respondents
- 1,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU32.0%+1.0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Dec 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,503 people were surveyed from 2 to 4 Jan 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Dec 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.7 points higher and AfD 2.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Jan 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.7average 29.3
- AfD -2.4average 14.4
- FDP -0.6average 8.6
- SPD -0.2average 15.2
- Linke -0.2average 9.2
- Grüne ±0average 19.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU212
- Grüne126
- SPD99
- AfD80
- Linke60
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.