Forsa poll of 22 December 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 21 Dec 2018
- Respondents
- 2,504
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%-1.0
- Grüne20.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Dec 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 17 to 21 Dec 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Dec 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 1.9 points higher and AfD 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Dec 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.9average 29.1
- AfD -1.5average 14.5
- SPD -0.9average 14.9
- Linke -0.9average 8.9
- FDP -0.5average 8.5
- Grüne +0.4average 19.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU207
- Grüne134
- SPD94
- AfD87
- FDP54
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD388 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke348 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.