Forsa poll of 15 December 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 14 Dec 2018
- Respondents
- 2,507
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU32.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%±0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Dec 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,507 people were surveyed from 10 to 14 Dec 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Dec 2018, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 3.1 points higher and AfD 2.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Dec 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +3.1average 28.9
- AfD -2.4average 14.4
- Linke -1.1average 9.1
- FDP -0.8average 8.8
- Grüne -0.4average 19.4
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU214
- Grüne127
- SPD101
- AfD80
- FDP54
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD395 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.