Forsa poll of 10 December 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 9 Dec 2018
- Respondents
- 1,506
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU32.0%+3.0
- Grüne19.0%-3.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Dec 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,506 people were surveyed from 7 to 9 Dec 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Dec 2018, CDU/CSU gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 3.9 points higher and AfD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Dec 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +3.9average 28.1
- AfD -1.6average 14.6
- Linke -1.2average 9.2
- SPD -1.0average 15.0
- FDP -1.0average 9.0
- Grüne -0.7average 19.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU214
- Grüne127
- SPD94
- AfD87
- FDP54
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD395 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.