Forsa poll of 7 December 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 6 Dec 2018
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%+2.0
- Grüne22.0%±0
- SPD14.0%±0
- AfD13.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Dec 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 3 to 6 Dec 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Dec 2018, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.2 points higher and AfD 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Dec 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.2average 19.8
- AfD -1.9average 14.9
- CDU/CSU +1.3average 27.7
- Linke -1.3average 9.3
- FDP -0.9average 8.9
- SPD -0.8average 14.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- Grüne147
- SPD94
- AfD87
- FDP54
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.