Forsa poll of 1 December 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 30 Nov 2018
- Respondents
- 2,505
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne22.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 Nov 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 26 to 30 Nov 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 Nov 2018, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Dec 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.9average 20.1
- Linke -1.2average 9.2
- SPD -0.9average 14.9
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 27.7
- AfD -0.6average 14.6
- FDP +0.1average 8.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne147
- SPD94
- AfD94
- FDP60
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.