Forsa poll of 24 November 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 23 Nov 2018
- Respondents
- 2,507
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- Grüne23.0%±0
- SPD14.0%±0
- AfD14.0%+2.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Nov 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 2,507 people were surveyed from 19 to 23 Nov 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Nov 2018, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 3.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Nov 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.3average 19.7
- Linke -1.4average 9.4
- AfD -1.3average 15.3
- SPD -1.1average 15.1
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 26.8
- FDP -0.1average 9.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU179
- Grüne152
- SPD93
- AfD93
- FDP60
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD365 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.