Forsa poll of 17 November 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 16 Nov 2018
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- Grüne23.0%±0
- SPD14.0%±0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Nov 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 12 to 16 Nov 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Nov 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 3.3 points higher and AfD 3.2 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Nov 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.3average 19.7
- AfD -3.2average 15.2
- CDU/CSU +1.2average 26.8
- SPD -1.1average 15.1
- Linke -0.4average 9.4
- FDP ±0average 9.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- Grüne152
- SPD93
- AfD79
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke325 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD324 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.