Forsa poll of 27 October 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 26 Oct 2018
- Respondents
- 2,509
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- Grüne21.0%±0
- SPD14.0%±0
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 20 Oct 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 2,509 people were surveyed from 22 to 26 Oct 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 20 Oct 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 3.7 points higher and AfD 2.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Oct 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.7average 17.3
- AfD -2.6average 16.6
- SPD -1.7average 15.7
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 26.5
- FDP -0.3average 9.3
- Linke ±0average 10.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU174
- Grüne141
- SPD94
- AfD94
- Linke67
- FDP60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD409 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD409 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.